INNOVATORS IN INVESTMENT

 
United Group Limited (UGL)

 

 

Recommendation: Accumulate

Note: Marker indicates price at previous close

 

INVESTMENT RATING (Last update: 01/05/2008)

UGL is a diversified group providing specialised engineering and maintenance and facilities management services in the areas of water, power, rail and other essential infrastructure. It also has a rapidly expanding, global, tenant-focused property services division. Management has lowered the earnings risk profile through diversification and building the proportion of long-term and recurring maintenance style work. Financial management is sound with cash flow strong, and moderate gearing levels. There are few barriers to entry to UGL’s businesses other than scale and brand. While cyclicality has been reduced, the resource boom is lifting earnings. UGL is well positioned to benefit from ongoing strength in the resources sector and from high levels of domestic infrastructure spend. Domestic labour shortages are likely to constrain growth in the future.

 

 

Previous Close 52 week High 52 Week Low

$12.800

$21.870

$10.750

Sector

Capital Goods

Market Cap

$2,100 Million

 

Total Shareholder Return (avg annual rate)
1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

-28.7%

15.4%

38.4%

20.9%

 

Intrinsic Valuation

$14.00

Moat Rating

None

Business Risk

Medium

Pricing Risk

Medium

Company Beta

1.03

Sector Beta

1.13

 

Year 6/06A 6/07A 6/08E 6/09E
NPAT ($m)

78.7

110.8

140.0

165.2

EPS (c)

62.2

79.3

84.8

98.9

% Change

35.5

27.5

6.9

16.6

DPS (c)

44.0

48.0

54.0

63.0

Franking (%)

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

Yield (%)

3.8

3.4

4.5

5.2

PER (x)

19.4

15.2

14.2

12.2

Source: Aspect Huntley analyst estimates

 

Index Participation   Price Chart

Index Name

Weight

S&P/ASX 100

0.21%

All Ordinaries

0.16%

S&P/ASX MIDCAP 50

1.53%

S&P/ASX MIDCAP 50 INDUSTRIALS

2.13%

S&P/ASX 100 INDUSTRIALS

0.32%

S&P/ASX 200 INDUSTRIAL

0.30%

S&P/ASX 300  INDUSTRIALS

0.29%

S&P/ASX 200

0.20%

S&P/ASX 300

0.19%

S&P/ASX 200 CAPITAL GOODS (INDUSTRY GROUP)

9.44%

S&P/ASX 300 CAPITAL GOODS (INDUSTRY GROUP)

8.83%

 

Business Description

United Group Limited is a diversified service group operating in mechanical & electrical engineering, fabrication, maintenance and construction, facilities management, and real estate services and business process outsourcing. The Company has operations in Australia, New Zealand, South-East Asia, North America and Europe.

 

Aspect Huntley – 04072008